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Risk Assessment on Bovine Brucellosis and Tuberculosis in Wood Buffalo National Park and Area

WBNP 1999 Risk Assessment Report  (PDF = 1004KB)

CFIA Risk Assessment  (PDF = 1280 KB)

Bison in and around Wood Buffalo National Park (WBNP) are infected with the organisms causing bovine brucellosis (Brucella abortus) and tuberculosis (Mycobacterium bovis). The continued presence of these diseases in bison in and around WBNP poses an undefined risk to three at-risk groups:

  • commercial cattle in the Fort Vermillion area
  • commercial captive bison herds in northern Alberta and northeast British Columbia
  • disease-free, free-ranging bison herds – i.e., the Mackenzie and Hay Zama bison populations

In March 1996, the Canadian Bison Association requested a formal risk assessment from the Canadian Food Inspection Agency (CFIA) to determine the risk of infection with tuberculosis and/or brucellosis to cattle, and disease-free captive and free-ranging bison. The Animals, Plant and Food Health Risk Assessment Network (APFRAN) of the Canadian Food Inspection Agency completed a risk assessment in January 1999.

The risk assessment was undertaken to quantify the risk to these three at-risk groups. A series of conditional probabilities related to transmission were developed and the economic consequences associated with infection/transmission assessed.

Data used in the risk assessment included radio telemetry data collected over a three-year period from bison in WBNP, that were radio collared and relocated every two weeks. This data formed the basis for building a movement model used to determine invasion probability.

The risk assessment shows that the risk to the conventional livestock industry and commercial captive bison herds is low while the risk to disease-free, free-ranging bison is much higher.

Canadian Food Inspection Agency
Risk Assessment

  • Probability of invasion
     

  • Probability of contact
     

  • Probability of transmission
     

  • Economic consequences

Probability of Infection

Disease Wild Bison Commercial Bison Commercial Cattle

Brucellosis

Monetary Consequences

 

1 per 8 years

$668,750/ year

between outbreaks

1 per 229 years

$28,384/ year

between outbreaks

1 per 1276 years

$495/ year

between outbreaks

Tuberculosis

Monetary consequences

1 per 6 years

$891,667/ year

between outbreaks

1 per 173 years

$47,399/ year

between outbreaks

1 per 1764 years

$472/ year

between outbreaks

Disclaimer: The above information was sourced from the Canadian Food Inspection Agency report titled, Risk assessment on Bovine Brucellosis and Tuberculosis in Wood Buffalo National Park and Area, January 1999. 

The following link will access the report entitled: A Landscape Evaluation of Bison Movements and Distribution in Northern Canada (Gates et al. 2001). One of the main objectives of this report was to provide results to APFRAN and the Canadian Food Inspection Agency for refinement of the 1999 disease risk assessment report.

This entire document can be found at here (Large PDF = 18,000 KB)

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       Site last updated Friday, February 22, 2008